Stalking the black swan (Record no. 83920)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 01963nam a2200397 a 4500 |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 332.63/2042 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--AUTHOR NAME | |
| Personal name | Posner, Kenneth A. |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Stalking the black swan |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
| Place of publication | New York : |
| Name of publisher | Columbia Business School Publishing, |
| Year of publication | c2010. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Number of Pages | xv, 267 p. : |
| Other physical details | ill. |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
| Formatted contents note | Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical Term | Investment analysis. |
| Topical Term | Investments |
| Topical Term | Business cycles. |
| Topical Term | Recessions. |
| 856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | http://site.ebrary.com/lib/rucke/Doc?id=10419632 |
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